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Ukraine pushback
Confidence 4/5
★★★★☆Fuckup rating 4/5
Serious fuckup
Zelensky and his allies spent the day pushing back on any Trump-led deal that would trade territory for a ceasefire. The result was another public reminder that Trump’s improvisational approach to ending the war keeps running into the same obstacle: Ukraine does not appear ready to bless a deal that rewards Vladimir Putin’s invasion.
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Tariff blowback
Confidence 4/5
★★★☆☆Fuckup rating 3/5
Major mess
Trump’s tariff and de minimis crackdown continued to generate business disruption, retaliation, and allied friction. August 24 did not produce a single dramatic collapse, but it did keep showing the same underlying problem: the administration’s favorite trade weapon is creating collateral damage faster than it is creating leverage.
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